Republicans Hold Onto the House
The G.O.P. will keep control of the House of Representatives.
Donald J. Trump wins Arizona
11 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Nevada
6 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Alaska
3 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Maine
2 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Michigan
15 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump Wins the Presidency
The 45th president reclaims the White House.
Donald J. Trump wins Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Minnesota
10 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Pennsylvania
19 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Maine’s Second Congressional District
1 electoral vote
Kamala Harris wins New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Nebraska’s First Congressional District
1 electoral vote
First results in Nevada
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Georgia
16 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins New Mexico
5 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Nebraska’s Second Congressional District
1 electoral vote
Republicans Win the Senate
The G.O.P. captured the Senate after four years in the minority.
Kamala Harris wins Hawaii
4 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Virginia
13 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Oregon
8 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins North Carolina
16 electoral votes
First results in California
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Idaho
4 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Washington
12 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins California
54 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Maine’s First Congressional District
1 electoral vote
Donald J. Trump wins Iowa
6 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Kansas
6 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins District of Columbia
3 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Colorado
10 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Montana
4 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Missouri
10 electoral votes
First results in Montana
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
First results in Arizona
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Utah
6 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Nebraska’s Third Congressional District
1 electoral vote
Donald J. Trump wins Texas
40 electoral votes
First results in Wisconsin
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Ohio
17 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Wyoming
3 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins North Dakota
3 electoral votes
First results in New York
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins South Dakota
3 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Nebraska
2 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins New York
28 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Louisiana
8 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Illinois
19 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Delaware
3 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins New Jersey
14 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Arkansas
6 electoral votes
First results in Michigan
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins South Carolina
9 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Rhode Island
4 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Connecticut
7 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
First results in New Jersey
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Oklahoma
7 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Florida
30 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Tennessee
11 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Alabama
9 electoral votes
Kamala Harris wins Maryland
10 electoral votes
First results in Pennsylvania
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
First results in Texas
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Mississippi
6 electoral votes
First results in North Carolina
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins West Virginia
4 electoral votes
First results in Virginia
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
First results in Georgia
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Kamala Harris wins Vermont
3 electoral votes
Donald J. Trump wins Indiana
11 electoral votes
First results in Florida
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Donald J. Trump wins Kentucky
8 electoral votes
First results in Kentucky
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
First results in Indiana
See results for presidential, congressional and statewide elections.
Last updated
Live Presidential Forecast
Presidential Forecast
Our election model estimates the outcome of the race in real time based on polling data, the votes reported so far and what we expect from remaining votes. Read how it works ›
Chance of winning
Trump
Electoral college estimate
Trump 312
286 to 312
Harris 226
226 to 252
Popular vote estimate
Trump +1.5
Harris +0.56 to Trump +4
Which states will decide the election?
These seven battleground states comprised 93 electoral college votes. Trump won seven of these states, securing victory.
Live forecast by state
As votes are counted in each state, our model adjusts its estimates in other areas with similar demographics and voting history. Select a state to see detailed results and estimates.
| Race | Percent of votes in Votes in | NYT win probability NYT win prob. | NYT estimate of final vote NYT est. of final vote | Chart showing NYT estimates of final vote margins | Even | +20 | +40 | +60 | +80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.C. | >95% | Harris | Harris +84 | ||||||
| Vt. | 100% | Harris | Harris +32 | ||||||
| Md. | >95% | Harris | Harris +26 | ||||||
| Mass. | >95% | Harris | Harris +25 | ||||||
| Hawaii | 100% | Harris | Harris +21 | ||||||
| Maine 1 | >95% | Harris | Harris +21 | ||||||
| Calif. | >95% | Harris | Harris +20 | ||||||
| Wash. | >95% | Harris | Harris +16 | ||||||
| Del. | 100% | Harris | Harris +14 | ||||||
| Conn. | >95% | Harris | Harris +14 | ||||||
| R.I. | 100% | Harris | Harris +13 | ||||||
| N.Y. | >95% | Harris | Harris +12 | ||||||
| Ore. | >95% | Harris | Harris +12 | ||||||
| Colo. | >95% | Harris | Harris +10 | ||||||
| Ill. | >95% | Harris | Harris +10 | ||||||
| Maine | >95% | Harris | Harris +6.3 | ||||||
| N.M. | 100% | Harris | Harris +5.9 | ||||||
| N.J. | >95% | Harris | Harris +5.4 | ||||||
| Va. | >95% | Harris | Harris +5.2 | ||||||
| Minn. | >95% | Harris | Harris +4.3 | ||||||
| Neb. 2 | >95% | Harris | Harris +3.8 | ||||||
| N.H. | >95% | Harris | Harris +2.9 | ||||||
| Wis. | >95% | Trump | Trump +1.1 | ||||||
| Mich. | 100% | Trump | Trump +1.5 | ||||||
| Pa. | >95% | Trump | Trump +2.1 | ||||||
| Ga. | 100% | Trump | Trump +2.3 | ||||||
| N.C. | >95% | Trump | Trump +3.4 | ||||||
| Ariz. | 100% | Trump | Trump +4.3 | ||||||
| Nev. | >95% | Trump | Trump +4.6 | ||||||
| Maine 2 | >95% | Trump | Trump +9.6 | ||||||
| Ohio | >95% | Trump | Trump +11 | ||||||
| Alaska | >95% | Trump | Trump +13 | ||||||
| Iowa | >95% | Trump | Trump +13 | ||||||
| Fla. | 100% | Trump | Trump +13 | ||||||
| Texas | 100% | Trump | Trump +14 | ||||||
| Neb. 1 | >95% | Trump | Trump +14 | ||||||
| Kan. | >95% | Trump | Trump +17 | ||||||
| S.C. | 100% | Trump | Trump +18 | ||||||
| Mo. | >95% | Trump | Trump +18 | ||||||
| Ind. | >95% | Trump | Trump +19 | ||||||
| Mont. | >95% | Trump | Trump +20 | ||||||
| Neb. | >95% | Trump | Trump +22 | ||||||
| La. | 100% | Trump | Trump +22 | ||||||
| Miss. | 94% | Trump | Trump +23 | ||||||
| Utah | 100% | Trump | Trump +23 | ||||||
| S.D. | >95% | Trump | Trump +30 | ||||||
| Tenn. | >95% | Trump | Trump +30 | ||||||
| Ky. | 100% | Trump | Trump +31 | ||||||
| Ala. | 100% | Trump | Trump +31 | ||||||
| Ark. | 100% | Trump | Trump +31 | ||||||
| Okla. | 100% | Trump | Trump +34 | ||||||
| Idaho | 100% | Trump | Trump +36 | ||||||
| N.D. | 100% | Trump | Trump +37 | ||||||
| W.Va. | >95% | Trump | Trump +42 | ||||||
| Wyo. | 100% | Trump | Trump +46 | ||||||
| Neb. 3 | >95% | Trump | Trump +54 | ||||||
How our forecast has changed
These charts show how our forecast has changed over the course of the night. As a rule, when the electoral vote estimate is steady in the presence of new results, our forecast is more trustworthy.
Estimated margin
Estimate of final electoral vote count
The lines below include a shaded range showing our model’s uncertainty. As more results are reported, the uncertainty around the estimates will narrow.
Chance of winning the presidency
2024 General Election Results
Results by state
- Alabama
- Alaska
- Arizona
- Arkansas
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Mississippi
- Missouri
- Montana
- Nebraska
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- New York
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Utah
- Vermont
- Virginia
- Washington
- Washington, D.C.
- West Virginia
- Wisconsin
- Wyoming